Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (9.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.