Serie B Gameweek 28
Mar 4, 2026 6.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Filippo Melegoni 3' goal
  • Niccolò Belloni 46' yellowcard
  • Fabio Abiuso 64' goal
  • Filippo Distefano 69' yellowcard
  • Fabio Rispoli 76' goal
  • Gabriele Parlanti 82' yellowcard
  • Mattia Finotto 82' yellowcard
  • Mattia Finotto 83' yellowcard
  • Gabriele Parlanti 83' yellowcard
  • goal Julián Illanes 7' (OG)
  • goal Tommaso Cassandro 39'
  • yellowcard Ruggero Frosinini 46'
  • yellowcard Simone Pontisso 46'
  • yellowcard Filippo Pittarello 55'
  • yellowcard Marco Pompetti 55'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Alesi 79'
  • yellowcard Simone Pontisso 90'
  • yellowcard Filippo Pittarello 90'+4'

Carrarese vs Catanzaro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 4.15pm
Mantova 1 - 1 Carrarese
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Fabio Abiuso

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 2.00pm
Catanzaro 2 - 2 Frosinone
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Pietro Iemmello

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (9.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result

Carrarese 38.01%
Draw 28.11% (+0.04)
Catanzaro 33.91% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.7% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.44% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.56% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.09% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 54.91% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 23.98% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 76.02% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 12.42% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 87.58% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Carrarese 28.19% (+0.06)
Draw 47.62% (-0.04)
Catanzaro 24.18% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Carrarese 47.35% (-0.05)
No Goal 8.8% (+0.04)
Catanzaro 43.85% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 51.43% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.71%
Under 8 36.86% (-0.08)
Over 9 40.07% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.36% (+0.01)
Under 9 48.57% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 29.92% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 70.08% (-0.05)

Carrarese Goals

Over 1.5 35.47% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.53% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.35% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 86.65% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 4.15% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.85% (+0.04)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5 67.12% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.88% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 32.28% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.72% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.54% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 88.46% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.33% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.67% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Carrarese 38%
Draw 28.12%
Catanzaro 33.9%
Carrarese
1-0 @ 10.83% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.37% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.54% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.73% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 4% (-0.05)
Total : 38%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.08% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.15%
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 28.12%
Catanzaro
0-1 @ 9.95% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.76% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.18% (-0.03)
Total : 33.9%

Head to Head

Serie B
Sep 13, 2025 4.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B Gameweek 33
Apr 12, 2025 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Julian Illanes Minucci 33' yellowcard
  • Luigi Cherubini 43' goal
  • Luigi Cherubini 43' goal
  • Marco Imperiale 57' yellowcard
  • Gabriele Guarino 75' yellowcard
  • Stiven Shpendi 81' goal
  • Stiven Shpendi 81' goal
  • Simone Zanon 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filippo Pittarello 20'
  • goal Mattia Compagnon 54'
  • goal Mattia Compagnon 54'
  • goal Filippo Pittarello 65'
  • goal Filippo Pittarello 65'
  • yellowcard Rares Ilie 90'+1'
Serie B Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
  • Nicolo Brighenti 3' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Biasci 34' goal
  • Pietro Iemmello 45' goal
  • Federico Bonini 46' yellowcard
  • Simone Pontisso 54' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Schiavi 25'
  • goal Devid Bouah 44'
  • yellowcard Manuel Cicconi 89'