Serie B Gameweek 26
Feb 21, 2026 6.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Tommaso Rubino 56' yellowcard
  • Niccolò Belloni 56' yellowcard
  • Ernesto Torregrossa 73' yellowcard
  • Filippo Melegoni 81' yellowcard
  • Filippo Distefano 81' yellowcard
  • Filippo Distefano 82' yellowcard
  • goal Hernani 49'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Colombo 67'
  • yellowcard Andrea Petagna 67'
  • yellowcard Adam Bakoune 68'
  • yellowcard Arvid Brorsson 85'

Carrarese vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 2.00pm
Modena 2 - 0 Carrarese
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Fabio Abiuso

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
Monza 2 - 1 Juve Stabia
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Hernani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 36.23%. A win for Monza had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Carrarese 36.23% (+0.08)
Draw 28.7% (-0.04)
Monza 35.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.42% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.4% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 30.6% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 43.85% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 56.15% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 22.03% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 77.97% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 10.82% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 89.18% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Carrarese 28.97%
Draw 48.6%
Monza 22.43%

Team To Score First

Carrarese 47.67%
No Goal 9.51% (-0.02)
Monza 42.82% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 56.17% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.26% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.57%
Over 9 43.82% (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.35%
Under 9 43.83% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 32.49% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 67.51% (+0.02)

Carrarese Goals

Over 1.5 33.31% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 66.69% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 11.73% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 88.27% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.16% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.84% (-0.04)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 67.72% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.28% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 32.65% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 67.35% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 11.4% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.6% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.21% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.79% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Carrarese 36.23%
Draw 28.7%
Monza 35.1%
Carrarese
1-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 8.35%
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.7% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.05% (+0.03)
Total : 36.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.2% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 9.51% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 28.7%
Monza
0-1 @ 10.33% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.17% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.1%
1-3 @ 2.93% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.1% (+0.03)
Total : 35.1%

Head to Head

Serie B
Dec 20, 2025 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Samuele Birindelli 9' goal
  • Paolo Bianco 39' yellowcard
  • Filippo Delli Carri 44' goal
  • Samuele Birindelli 55' goal
  • Andrea Petagna 84' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriele Parlanti 13'
  • yellowcard Simone Zanon 40'
  • yellowcard Julian Illanes Minucci 42'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Schiavi 45'+3'
  • yellowcard 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Schiavi 45'+4'
  • goal Filippo Distefano 74'