Serie B Gameweek 23
Feb 8, 2026 2.00pm
U-Power Stadium

Monza vs Avellino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 4.15pm
Calcio Padova 1 - 2 Monza
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Samuele Birindelli

Avellino

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 2.00pm
Avellino 0 - 0 Cesena
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Tommaso Biasci

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Monza win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw has a probability of 24.78% and a win for Avellino has a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.4%) and 2-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.9%) , while for a Avellino win it is 0-1 (7.14%).

Result

Monza 54.59% (-0.62)
Draw 24.78% (+0.41)
Avellino 20.67% (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.66% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.02% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 27.98% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 46.68% (-0.55)
Under 2.5 53.32% (+0.55)
Over 3.5 24.95% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 75.05% (+0.38)
Over 4.5 13.63% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 86.37% (+0.30)

First Half Winner

Monza 38.27% (-0.20)
Draw 42.65% (-0.03)
Avellino 19.09% (+0.24)

Team To Score First

Monza 58.76% (-0.15)
No Goal 7.55% (+0.07)
Avellino 33.69% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 53.9% (-0.29)
Equal 8 11.86% (+0.05)
Under 8 34.24% (+0.25)
Over 9 42.17% (-0.31)
Equal 9 11.73% (+0.02)
Under 9 46.1% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 31.52% (-0.33)
Under 10.5 68.48% (+0.33)

Monza Goals

Over 1.5 47.97% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 52.03% (+0.53)
Over 2.5 21.33% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 78.67% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 7.49% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 92.51% (+0.22)

Avellino Goals

Over 0.5 56.18% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 43.82% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 21.66% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 78.34% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 5.78% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 94.22% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.3% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.7% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Monza 54.58%
Draw 24.79%
Avellino 20.67%
Monza
1-0 @ 13.33% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.4% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 10.21% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.09)
Other @ 7.48% (-0.22)
Total : 54.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9% (+0.29)
0-0 @ 7.55% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.65% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.79%
Avellino
0-1 @ 7.14% (+0.25)
1-2 @ 5.22% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.22% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.38% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.29% (-0.02)
Total : 20.67%

Head to Head

Serie B
Sep 12, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT