Serie B Gameweek 21
Jan 24, 2026 6.30pm
Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia vs Avellino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 2.00pm
Sudtirol 0 - 0 Spezia
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Gabriele Artistico

Avellino

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.00pm
Avellino 0 - 0 Carrarese
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Tommaso Biasci

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spezia win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Avellino has a probability of 34.15% and a draw has a probability of 28.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Avellino win is 0-1 (10.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.13%).

Result

Spezia 37.83% (-0.15)
Draw 28.02% (+0.13)
Avellino 34.15% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.3% (-0.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.39% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 30.61% (+0.81)
Over 2.5 43.65% (-1.17)
Under 2.5 56.35% (+1.17)
Over 3.5 21.89% (-0.77)
Under 3.5 78.11% (+0.77)
Over 4.5 10.73% (-0.50)
Under 4.5 89.27% (+0.49)

First Half Winner

Spezia 29.44% (-0.03)
Draw 46.28% (-0.04)
Avellino 24.27% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Spezia 48.14% (-0.08)
No Goal 9.07% (+0.25)
Avellino 42.79% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 54.63% (+0.50)
Equal 8 11.69% (+0.01)
Under 8 33.68% (-0.50)
Over 9 43.02% (+0.46)
Equal 9 11.61% (+0.04)
Under 9 45.37% (-0.50)
Over 10.5 32.41% (+0.36)
Under 10.5 67.59% (-0.36)

Spezia Goals

Over 1.5 34.1% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 65.9% (+0.77)
Over 2.5 11.98% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 88.02% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 3.25% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 96.75% (+0.19)

Avellino Goals

Over 0.5 67.07% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 32.93% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 31.7% (-0.66)
Under 1.5 68.3% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 10.88% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 89.12% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 2.98% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 97.02% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Spezia 37.83%
Draw 28.01%
Avellino 34.17%
Spezia
1-0 @ 11.26% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 6.66% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.23% (-0.13)
Total : 37.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.13% (+0.19)
0-0 @ 9.07% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.02% (-0.06)
Total : 28.01%
Avellino
0-1 @ 10.29% (+0.29)
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 5.94% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.96% (-0.11)
Total : 34.17%

Head to Head

Serie B
Oct 25, 2025 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B
May 11, 2018 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)
  • Luigi Castaldo 76' goal
  • Luigi Castaldo 77' yellowcard
  • Matteo Ardemagni 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matteo Pessina 13'
Serie B
Dec 21, 2017 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)
  • Guido Marilungo 12' goal
  • Claudio Terzi 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francesco Di Tacchio 36'