Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spezia win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Avellino has a probability of 33.42% and a draw has a probability of 28.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Avellino win is 0-1 (10.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.25%).