Serie B Gameweek 25
Feb 14, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena vs Carrarese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.00pm
Venezia 0 - 1 Modena
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Ettore Gliozzi

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.00pm
Calcio Padova 0 - 0 Carrarese
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Fabio Abiuso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Modena win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw has a probability of 27.45% and a win for Carrarese has a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.97%) , while for a Carrarese win it is 0-1 (8.23%).

Result

Modena 50.56% (-0.04)
Draw 27.45%
Carrarese 21.99% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.89%
Under 1.5 33.11%
Over 2.5 40.81%
Under 2.5 59.19%
Over 3.5 19.67%
Under 3.5 80.33%
Over 4.5 10.06%
Under 4.5 89.94%

First Half Winner

Modena 33.77%
Draw 48.72%
Carrarese 17.5%

Team To Score First

Modena 56.36%
No Goal 9.92%
Carrarese 33.72%

Corners

Over 8 49.74%
Equal 8 12.16%
Under 8 38.1%
Over 9 38.1%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 50.26%
Over 10.5 27.88%
Under 10.5 72.12%

Modena Goals

Over 1.5 41.24% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 58.76% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.82% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.18% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.47% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.53% (+0.02)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5 55.44% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 44.56% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 20.27% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 79.73% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.11% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 94.89% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.05%
Under 3.5 98.95%

Score analysis

Modena 50.55%
Draw 27.47%
Carrarese 21.99%
Modena
1-0 @ 14.97%
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.46% (-0.01)
Total : 50.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.47%
Carrarese
0-1 @ 8.23%
1-2 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 1.45% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.99%

Head to Head

Serie B
Oct 1, 2025 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B Gameweek 37
May 4, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Vincenzo Fiorillo 21' redcard
  • Nicolas Schiavi 42' goal
  • Manuel Cicconi 80' yellowcard
  • Julian Illanes Minucci 88' goal
  • Julian Illanes Minucci 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matteo Cotali 52'
  • goal Ettore Gliozzi 63'
  • yellowcard Simone Santoro 64'
  • yellowcard Issiaka Kamate 81'
  • redcard Marco Oliva 90'+4'
Serie B Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Gregoire Defrel 37' yellowcard
  • Cristian Cauz 42' goal
  • Riccardo Gagno 70' yellowcard
  • Antonio Palumbo 80' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Giovane 69'
  • yellowcard Marco Imperiale 78'