Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Modena had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.04%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Modena win was 1-2 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.