Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (9.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.