Serie B Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2026 4.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Davide Bragantini 1' goal
  • Davis Mensah 62' yellowcard
  • Francesco Ruocco 62' yellowcard
  • Stefano Cella 76' yellowcard
  • Federico Zuccon 77' yellowcard
  • Francesco Ruocco 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mattia Finotto 45'
  • yellowcard Niccolò Belloni 46'
  • yellowcard Mattia Finotto 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ernesto Torregrossa 60'
  • yellowcard Filippo Melegoni 60'
  • goal Luis Hasa 80'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Parlanti 84'

Mantova vs Carrarese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mantova

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 2.00pm
Mantova 2 - 1 Sampdoria
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Davide Bragantini

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 6.30pm
Carrarese 0 - 1 Monza
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Fabio Abiuso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.41% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%) , while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Mantova 48.14% (+0.05)
Draw 26.41% (+0.09)
Carrarese 25.48% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.18% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.57% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 28.43% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 46.07% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 53.93% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 24.54% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 75.46% (+0.36)
Over 4.5 12.97% (-0.32)
Under 4.5 87.03% (+0.33)

First Half Winner

Mantova 35.24%
Draw 42.19%
Carrarese 22.57%

Team To Score First

Mantova 51.22% (-0.13)
No Goal 8.18% (+0.18)
Carrarese 40.6% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 59.25% (-0.14)
Equal 8 11.49% (+0.05)
Under 8 29.26% (+0.09)
Over 9 47.4% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.85% (+0.04)
Under 9 40.75% (+0.14)
Over 10.5 36.22% (-0.19)
Under 10.5 63.78% (+0.19)

Mantova Goals

Over 1.5 43.34% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 56.66% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 18.05% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 81.95% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 6.09% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 93.91% (+0.10)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5 60.45% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 39.55% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 25.62% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 74.38% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 7.83% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 92.17% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 2.07% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 97.93% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Mantova 48.14%
Draw 26.41%
Carrarese 25.47%
Mantova
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.99% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 4.5% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.06% (-0.09)
Total : 48.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.18% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.02)
Total : 26.41%
Carrarese
0-1 @ 8.11% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.09% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.04% (-0.13)
Total : 25.47%

Head to Head

Serie B
Dec 27, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fabio Abiuso 34' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Calabrese 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessio Castellini 6'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Radaelli 90'+4'
Serie B Gameweek 38
May 9, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Leonardo Mancuso 44' goal
  • Stefano Cella 63' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Debenedetti 83' goal
  • Mattia Aramu 84' yellowcard
  • Davide Bragantini 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Illanes Minucci 33'
  • goal Mattia Finotto 47'
  • yellowcard Manuel Cicconi 55'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Capezzi 76'
Serie B Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
  • 4' goal
  • Mauro Coppolaro 17' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Schiavi 71' goal
  • yellowcard Leonardo Mancuso 9'
  • yellowcard Salvatore Burrai 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Fabrizio Brignani 58'
  • goal Leonardo Mancuso 68'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Bani 78'