Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 35.59%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 29.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.