Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.36% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.07%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%) , while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.