Serie B
Feb 15, 2026 4.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Gabriele Guarino 46' yellowcard
  • Joseph Ceesay 46' yellowcard
  • Bogdan Popov 46' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Saporiti 68' yellowcard
  • Stiven Shpendi 72' goal
  • yellowcard Natan Girma 26'
  • yellowcard Manolo Portanova 58'
  • yellowcard Andrea Bozzolan 58'
  • yellowcard Mathis Lambourde 78'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Fumagalli 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Mendicino 90'+5'

Empoli vs Reggiana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.00pm
Empoli 1 - 2 Juve Stabia
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Stiven Shpendi

Reggiana

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.00pm
Reggiana 1 - 0 Mantova
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Manolo Portanova

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (9.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Empoli 42.31% (+0.36)
Draw 27.85% (-0.26)
Reggiana 29.83% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.91% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.04% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 32.96% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 41% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 59% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 20.81% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 79.19% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 10.41% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 89.59% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Empoli 29.02% (+0.25)
Draw 48% (-0.07)
Reggiana 22.98% (-0.20)

Team To Score First

Empoli 49.08% (-0.20)
No Goal 9.85% (-0.08)
Reggiana 41.07% (+0.26)

Corners

Over 8 53.23% (-0.30)
Equal 8 12.1% (-0.07)
Under 8 34.67% (+0.36)
Over 9 41.32% (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.91% (-0.09)
Under 9 46.77% (+0.30)
Over 10.5 30.59% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 69.41% (+0.12)

Empoli Goals

Over 1.5 35.82% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 64.18% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 13.45% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 86.55% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.02% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.98% (-0.05)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5 61.86% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 38.14% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 26.96% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 73.04% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 8.34% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 91.66% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 2.17% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.83% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Empoli 42.31%
Draw 27.86%
Reggiana 29.83%
Empoli
1-0 @ 13.15% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.39% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.85% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.56% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.28% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.01% (+0.05)
Total : 42.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 9.85% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.86%
Reggiana
0-1 @ 9.96% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.16% (-0.03)
Total : 29.83%

Head to Head

Serie B
Aug 29, 2025 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Coppa Italia
Aug 15, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
Coppa Italia
Aug 15, 2025 5.00pm
Serie B Gameweek 33
Apr 9, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Augustus Kargbo 89' yellowcard
  • Fausto Rossi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ryder Matos 11'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Haas 51'
  • yellowcard Szymon Zurkowski 87'
  • yellowcard Stefano Sabelli 90'+3'
Serie B Gameweek 14
Dec 22, 2020 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Simone Romagnoli 40' yellowcard
  • Simone Romagnoli 56' redcard
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Zampano 45'
  • yellowcard Simone Muratore 60'
  • yellowcard Salvatore Pezzella 89'