Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (9.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.