Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Avellino had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Avellino win was 1-0 (9.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.