Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Virtus Entella win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.42% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 27.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Virtus Entella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.58%) , while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.