Serie B Gameweek 28
Mar 4, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Emanuele Rao 42' goal
  • Nicola Bellomo 64' yellowcard
  • Giulio Maggiore 72' goal
  • Moussa Mané 77' yellowcard
  • Giacomo De Pieri 77' yellowcard
  • Matthias Braunöder 89' yellowcard
  • Marvin Cuni 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriele Guarino 29'
  • goal Stiven Shpendi 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Duccio Degli Innocenti 61'
  • yellowcard Rareș Ilie 61'
  • yellowcard Rareș Ilie 62'
  • yellowcard Duccio Degli Innocenti 62'
  • yellowcard Marco Nasti 80'
  • yellowcard Joseph Ceesay 80'

Bari vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 8.00pm
Sampdoria 0 - 2 Bari
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Emanuele Rao

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 2.00pm
Empoli 1 - 1 Cesena
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Stiven Shpendi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Bari 41.59% (+0.06)
Draw 28.08%
Empoli 30.33% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.42% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.39% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 31.61% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 42.17% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 57.83% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 21.12% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 78.88% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 10.6% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.4% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Bari 29.2%
Draw 47.06%
Empoli 23.74%

Team To Score First

Bari 47.87% (-0.02)
No Goal 9.46% (+0.02)
Empoli 42.67%

Corners

Over 8 57.25% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.59%
Under 8 31.16%
Over 9 45.49%
Equal 9 11.76%
Under 9 42.75% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 34.54%
Under 10.5 65.46%

Bari Goals

Over 1.5 36.2% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 63.8% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 13.66% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 86.34% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.18% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.82% (-0.03)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5 63.03% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 36.97% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 27.69% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 72.31% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 8.77% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.23% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.23% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.77% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Bari 41.6%
Draw 28.1%
Empoli 30.32%
Bari
1-0 @ 12.32%
2-1 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 7.68% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.55% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93%
Other @ 4.17% (+0.02)
Total : 41.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 9.46% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.1%
Empoli
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.22% (-0.01)
Total : 30.32%

Head to Head

Serie B
Nov 29, 2025 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gabriele Guarino 45'+2' goal
  • Stiven Shpendi 52' goal
  • Joseph Ceesay 64' yellowcard
  • Gerard Yepes 66' goal
  • Pietro Pellegri 89' goal
  • Joseph Ceesay 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Dickmann 24'
  • yellowcard Francesco Vicari 39'
Serie B
Jan 27, 2018 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Luca Marrone 33' yellowcard
  • Liam Henderson 36' yellowcard
  • Migjen Basha 63' yellowcard
  • goal Alfredo Donnarumma 8'
  • goal Francesco Caputo 29'
  • yellowcard Rade Krunic 52'
  • goal Miha Zajc 64'
  • goal Nikola Ninkovic 78'
Serie B
Sep 3, 2017 4.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Francesco Caputo 9' goal
  • Francesco Caputo 11' goal
  • Ismael Bennacer 43' yellowcard
  • Sebastiano Luperto 52' yellowcard
  • Alfredo Donnarumma 54' goal
  • Manuel Pasqual 72' yellowcard
  • Francesco Caputo 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elio Capradossi 36'
  • goal Andres Tello 42'
  • goal Salvatore D'Elia 67'
  • yellowcard Luca Marrone 88'