Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.