Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.