Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 46.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.02% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 25.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%) , while for a Mantova win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.