Serie B
Mar 14, 2026 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Brando Moruzzi 46' yellowcard
  • Marco Nasti 46' yellowcard
  • Stiven Shpendi 50' goal
  • Edoardo Saporiti 72' yellowcard
  • Tyronne Ebuehi 72' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Haas 80' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Saporiti 84' goal
  • goal Davide Bragantini 21'
  • goal Stefano Cella 37'
  • yellowcard Tiago Gonçalves 46'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Marras 57'
  • yellowcard Maat Daniel Caprini 57'
  • yellowcard David Wieser 67'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Maggioni 88'

Empoli vs Mantova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 2.00pm
Catanzaro 3 - 2 Empoli
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Stiven Shpendi

Mantova

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 2.00pm
Mantova 2 - 0 Juve Stabia
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Davide Bragantini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 46.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.02% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 25.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%) , while for a Mantova win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Empoli 46.07% (+0.04)
Draw 28.02%
Mantova 25.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.83%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.24% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 32.76% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 41.3% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 58.7% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 20.52% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 79.48% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.4% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.6% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Empoli 31.82%
Draw 45.34%
Mantova 22.84%

Team To Score First

Empoli 51.09% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.94% (+0.01)
Mantova 38.97%

Corners

Over 8 57.34%
Equal 8 11.79%
Under 8 30.87%
Over 9 45.36%
Equal 9 11.98%
Under 9 42.66%
Over 10.5 34.23%
Under 10.5 65.77%

Empoli Goals

Over 1.5 38.91% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.09% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.14%
Under 2.5 84.86%
Over 3.5 4.79% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.21% (+0.01)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5 58.7%
Under 0.5 41.3%
Over 1.5 23.83% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 76.17% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.23% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.77% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.73% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.27% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Empoli 46.08%
Draw 28.03%
Mantova 25.87%
Empoli
1-0 @ 13.78% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 8.85% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.99% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 46.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 28.03%
Mantova
0-1 @ 9.02% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.15% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 25.87%

Head to Head

Serie B
Dec 21, 2025 4.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David Wieser 31' yellowcard
  • Cesar Falletti 41' yellowcard
  • 63' yellowcard
  • Davis Mensah 63' yellowcard
  • Francesco Ruocco 63' yellowcard
  • Simone Trimboli 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriele Guarino 39'
  • yellowcard 63'
  • yellowcard D. Mensah 63'
  • yellowcard Salvatore Elia 63'
  • goal Marco Nasti 67'
  • yellowcard Marco Nasti 68'