Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Juve Stabia win was 0-1 (10.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.