Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 35.03%. A win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 30.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Juve Stabia win was 1-0 (12.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.