Serie B Gameweek 28
Mar 4, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Filippo Ranocchia 2' goal
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 38' goal
  • Alexis Blin 46' yellowcard
  • Claudio Gomes 69' yellowcard
  • Dennis Johnsen 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • Giangiacomo Magnani 85' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Gyasi 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Flavio Paoletti 46'
  • yellowcard 53'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Marras 54'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Maggioni 54'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Marras 68'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Mancuso 77'
  • yellowcard 77'
  • yellowcard Nicolò Buso 78'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Mancuso 78'

Palermo vs Mantova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 2.00pm
Pescara 2 - 1 Palermo
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Joel Pohjanpalo

Mantova

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 4.15pm
Mantova 1 - 1 Carrarese
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Davide Bragantini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.95% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 16.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%) , while for a Mantova win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Palermo 61.96% (+0.11)
Draw 21.95% (-0.04)
Mantova 16.09% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.26% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.23% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 24.77% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 51.59% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 48.41% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 28.85% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 71.15% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 17.38% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 82.62% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Palermo 45.62%
Draw 37.72%
Mantova 16.65%

Team To Score First

Palermo 66.76% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.53% (+0.04)
Mantova 26.71% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.31% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.15% (+0.01)
Under 8 27.54% (+0.06)
Over 9 49.62% (-0.07)
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 38.69% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 38.4% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 61.6% (+0.06)

Palermo Goals

Over 1.5 55.38% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 44.62% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 28.21% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 71.79% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 11.71% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 88.29% (+0.04)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5 50.52% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 49.48% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 18.63% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 81.37% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 5.26% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.74% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.24% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.76% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Palermo 61.96%
Draw 21.95%
Mantova 16.1%
Palermo
1-0 @ 13% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 11.22% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 10.46% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.19% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.95%
3-2 @ 2.59%
Other @ 11.55% (-0.02)
Total : 61.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.23% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.53% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 21.95%
Mantova
0-1 @ 5.25% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.33% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.19%
1-3 @ 1.26%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 16.1%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 19
Jan 11, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Danilo Martelli
Serie B Gameweek 26
Feb 16, 2025 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Valerio Verre 26' goal
  • Salim Diakite 60' yellowcard
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 68' goal
  • Pietro Ceccaroni 69' redcard
  • goal Davis Mensah 46'
  • goal Fabrizio Brignani 57'
  • yellowcard Salvatore Burrai 67'
  • yellowcard Sebastien De Maio 67'
  • yellowcard Simone Trimboli 79'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Bani 90'+5'
Serie B Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Davide Possanzini 89' yellowcard
  • Federico Artioli 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pietro Ceccaroni 34'
  • yellowcard Salim Diakite 73'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Le Douaron 90'+5'