Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 45.15%. A draw had a probability of 29.25% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%) , while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.