Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juve Stabia win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 29.26% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juve Stabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.79%) , while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.