Serie B Gameweek 29
Mar 8, 2026 4.15pm
Stadio dei Marmi

Carrarese vs Palermo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 6.00pm
Carrarese 3 - 3 Catanzaro
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Fabio Abiuso

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 7.00pm
Palermo 2 - 1 Mantova
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Joel Pohjanpalo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palermo win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Carrarese has a probability of 32.23% and a draw has a probability of 28.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Carrarese win is 1-0 (10.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.42%).

Result

Carrarese 32.23% (-0.82)
Draw 28.76% (+0.46)
Palermo 38.98% (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.23% (-0.45)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.13% (-0.86)
Under 1.5 32.87% (+0.86)
Over 2.5 40.89% (-1.00)
Under 2.5 59.11% (+1.00)
Over 3.5 20% (-1.06)
Under 3.5 80% (+1.05)
Over 4.5 9.91% (-0.70)
Under 4.5 90.09% (+0.71)

First Half Winner

Carrarese 25.65% (+0.87)
Draw 45.66% (-1.32)
Palermo 28.69% (+0.45)

Team To Score First

Carrarese 40.38% (+0.08)
No Goal 10.11% (+0.42)
Palermo 49.51% (-0.49)

Corners

Over 8 58.17% (+1.63)
Equal 8 11.66% (+0.47)
Under 8 30.16% (-2.10)
Over 9 46.24% (+1.00)
Equal 9 11.93% (+0.63)
Under 9 41.83% (-1.63)
Over 10.5 35.08% (+0.33)
Under 10.5 64.92% (-0.33)

Carrarese Goals

Over 1.5 28.56% (-1.30)
Under 1.5 71.44% (+1.29)
Over 2.5 9.09% (-1.00)
Under 2.5 90.91% (+1.00)
Over 3.5 2.31% (-0.51)
Under 3.5 97.69% (+0.51)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5 69.01% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 30.99% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 33.73% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 66.27% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 12.26% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.74% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.62% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.38% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Carrarese 32.23%
Draw 28.76%
Palermo 38.98%
Carrarese
1-0 @ 10.75% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 7.42% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.26% (-0.50)
Total : 32.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.42% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 10.11% (+0.42)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.03)
Total : 28.76%
Palermo
0-1 @ 11.98% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 8.35% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 7.12% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.13% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.98% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.57% (-0.02)
Total : 38.98%

Head to Head

Serie B
Nov 29, 2025 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jacopo Segre 24' goal
  • Antonio Palumbo 30' yellowcard
  • Antonio Palumbo 44' goal
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 48' goal
  • 72' yellowcard
  • Aljosa Vasic 72' yellowcard
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 82' goal
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 88' goal
  • yellowcard Julian Illanes Minucci 40'
  • yellowcard Mattia Finotto 78'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Calabrese 80'
Serie B Gameweek 34
May 13, 2025 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Dimitrios Nikolaou 14' yellowcard
  • Francesco Di Mariano 53' yellowcard
  • Salim Diakite 68' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 86' goal
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 86' yellowcard
  • goal Stiven Shpendi 16'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Guarino 21'
  • redcard Gabriele Guarino 57'
  • yellowcard Julian Illanes Minucci 86'
Serie B Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Gabriele Guarino 73' yellowcard
  • Stiven Shpendi 77' goal
  • Stiven Shpendi 79' yellowcard
  • Manuel Cicconi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pietro Ceccaroni 70'