Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 44.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.41% and a win for Avellino had a probability of 26.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%) , while for a Avellino win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.