Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Virtus Entella win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Avellino had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Virtus Entella win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%) , while for a Avellino win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.