Serie B Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Comunale Chiavari
  • Tommaso Del Lungo 45' goal
  • Davide Bariti 57' yellowcard
  • Andrea Tiritiello 57' yellowcard
  • Niccolò Squizzato 62' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Debenedetti 62' yellowcard
  • Niccolò Squizzato 63' yellowcard
  • Nermin Karić 85' goal
  • Marco Dalla Vecchia 87' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Tonoli 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Manuel De Luca 69'
  • yellowcard Yanis Massolin 69'
  • yellowcard Francesco Zampano 69'
  • yellowcard Antonio Imputato 74'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Ambrosino 87'

Virtus Entella vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Virtus Entella

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 6.00pm
Monza 2 - 0 Virtus Entella
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Luigi Cuppone

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 2.00pm
Modena 1 - 2 Calcio Padova
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Ettore Gliozzi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Virtus Entella win was 1-0 (9.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Virtus Entella 28.71% (+1.08)
Draw 28.63% (+0.22)
Modena 42.66% (-1.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.82% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.94% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 32.06% (+0.73)
Over 2.5 41.6% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 58.4% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 20.8% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 79.2% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 10.47% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 89.53% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Virtus Entella 26.85% (+1.81)
Draw 46.21% (-0.50)
Modena 26.94% (-1.31)

Team To Score First

Virtus Entella 42.83% (+3.11)
No Goal 9.8% (+0.27)
Modena 47.37% (-3.38)

Corners

Over 8 62.97% (-1.08)
Equal 8 10.59% (-0.05)
Under 8 26.44% (+1.13)
Over 9 51.74% (-0.93)
Equal 9 11.24% (-0.15)
Under 9 37.03% (+1.08)
Over 10.5 40.78% (-0.72)
Under 10.5 59.23% (+0.73)

Virtus Entella Goals

Over 1.5 26.19% (+0.70)
Under 1.5 73.81% (-0.69)
Over 2.5 7.74% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 92.26% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 1.91% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 98.09% (-0.30)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 71.94% (-1.18)
Under 0.5 28.06% (+1.17)
Over 1.5 37.05% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 62.95% (+1.25)
Over 2.5 14.45% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 85.55% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 4.45% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.55% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Virtus Entella 28.7%
Draw 28.64%
Modena 42.66%
Virtus Entella
1-0 @ 9.93% (+0.41)
2-1 @ 6.92% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 4.9% (+0.28)
3-1 @ 2.13% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.83% (+0.23)
Total : 28.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.51% (-0.19)
0-0 @ 9.8% (+0.27)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.08)
Total : 28.64%
Modena
0-1 @ 12.33% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.44)
0-2 @ 7.94% (-0.21)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.28)
0-3 @ 3.54% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.12)
Other @ 4.37% (-0.09)
Total : 42.66%

Head to Head

Serie B
Oct 5, 2025 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT