Serie B Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2026 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Yanis Massolin 28' yellowcard
  • Ettore Gliozzi 53' yellowcard
  • Matteo Cotali 53' yellowcard
  • Matteo Cotali 54' yellowcard
  • Ettore Gliozzi 54' yellowcard
  • Luca Zanimacchia 56' goal
  • Grégoire Defrel 73' yellowcard
  • Antonio Imputato 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Crisetig 5'
  • goal Kevin Lasagna 8'
  • goal Carlo Faedo 14'
  • yellowcard Luca Di Maggio 60'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Villa 68'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Caprari 68'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Silva 68'

Modena vs Calcio Padova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 2.00pm
Juve Stabia 1 - 2 Modena
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Ettore Gliozzi

Calcio Padova

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 2.00pm
Calcio Padova 1 - 1 Bari
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Kevin Lasagna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%) , while for a Calcio Padova win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Modena 48.06% (-0.04)
Draw 27.7%
Calcio Padova 24.24% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.69% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.38% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 32.62% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 41.31% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 58.66% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 20.6% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 79.4% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 10.43% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 89.57% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Modena 33.33%
Draw 46.59%
Calcio Padova 20.08%

Team To Score First

Modena 57.04% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.72% (+0.01)
Calcio Padova 33.24%

Corners

Over 8 47.99% (+0.06)
Equal 8 12.57% (+0.01)
Under 8 39.44% (-0.07)
Over 9 36.13% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.86% (+0.01)
Under 9 52.01% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 25.88% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 74.12% (-0.02)

Modena Goals

Over 1.5 40.3% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 59.7% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 15.9% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 84.1% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.08% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.92% (+0.02)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5 57.58% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 42.42% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 22.63% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 77.37% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 6.38% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.62% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.5% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.5% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Modena 48.06%
Draw 27.69%
Calcio Padova 24.24%
Modena
1-0 @ 14.16% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.17%
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.01% (-0.01)
Total : 48.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.72% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 27.69%
Calcio Padova
0-1 @ 8.73% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.26%
0-3 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 24.24%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 19
Jan 11, 2026 4.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Euganeo
  • Mattia Bortolussi 11' goal
  • Lorenzo Villa 68' yellowcard
  • Kevin Lasagna 78' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Seghetti 78' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Crisetig 79' yellowcard
  • Carlo Faedo 88' yellowcard
  • Kevin Lasagna 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel De Luca 62'
  • yellowcard Manuel De Luca 63'
  • yellowcard Gady-Pierre Beyuku Bowutankoyi 65'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Dellavalle 65'
  • yellowcard Pedro Mendes 78'
  • yellowcard Niklas Pyyhtia 78'