Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.56% and a win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 15.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%) , while for a Virtus Entella win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.