Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 45.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.25% and a win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%) , while for a Virtus Entella win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.