Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Calcio Padova win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Calcio Padova win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.