Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win was 1-0 (9.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.