Serie B
Mar 14, 2026 4.15pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Andrea Petagna 18' goal
  • Adam Bakoune 46' yellowcard
  • Patrick Ciurria 63' goal
  • Leonardo Colombo 72' yellowcard
  • Dany Mota 72' yellowcard
  • Agustín Álvarez 86' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Colombo 88' goal
  • Arvid Brorsson 89' yellowcard
  • Arvid Brorsson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pietro Avena 59'
  • yellowcard Dennis Johnsen 64'
  • yellowcard Giangiacomo Magnani 64'
  • yellowcard Aljosa Vasic 72'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Corona 72'

Monza vs Palermo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 2.00pm
Spezia 4 - 2 Monza
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Andrea Petagna

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 4.15pm
Carrarese 0 - 1 Palermo
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Joel Pohjanpalo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result

Monza 45.32% (-0.11)
Draw 26.95% (+0.08)
Palermo 27.7% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.52% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.32% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 27.68% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 47.04% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 52.96% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 25.05% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 74.95% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 13.31% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 86.69% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Monza 31.06%
Draw 44.13%
Palermo 24.81%

Team To Score First

Monza 49.76% (-0.04)
No Goal 8.03% (+0.05)
Palermo 42.21% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.74% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.13% (-0.02)
Under 8 30.13% (+0.04)
Over 9 47.31%
Equal 9 11.43% (-0.02)
Under 9 41.26% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 36.53% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 63.47% (-0.03)

Monza Goals

Over 1.5 41.81% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 58.19% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 17.38% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 82.62% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 5.8% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 94.2% (+0.07)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5 62.92% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 37.08% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 28% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 72% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.22% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 90.78% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.44%
Under 3.5 97.56%

Score analysis

Monza 45.31%
Draw 26.95%
Palermo 27.72%
Monza
1-0 @ 11.38% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.02% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.71% (-0.06)
Total : 45.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.03% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.95%
Palermo
0-1 @ 8.25% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 4.42% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 27.72%

Head to Head

Serie B
Oct 28, 2025 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale
  • goal Federico Di Francesco 8'