Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 45.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.24% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 27.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%) , while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (8.92%).