Serie B Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2026 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Comunale Euganeo
  • Filippo Sgarbi 39' goal
  • Cristian Buonaiuto 58' yellowcard
  • Giulio Favale 71' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Silva 71' yellowcard
  • Kevin Lasagna 78' goal
  • Alessandro Seghetti 85' yellowcard
  • Luca Di Maggio 85' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriele Artistico 24'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Romano 60'
  • yellowcard Filippo Bandinelli 60'
  • yellowcard Mattia Valoti 75'
  • yellowcard Luca Vignali 75'
  • yellowcard Pietro Beruatto 81'
  • goal Giovanni Bonfanti 82'

Calcio Padova vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Calcio Padova

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 2.00pm
Modena 1 - 2 Calcio Padova
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Kevin Lasagna

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 4.15pm
Spezia 0 - 1 Reggiana
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Gabriele Artistico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 30.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win was 1-0 (11.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Calcio Padova 33.07% (+0.76)
Draw 30.14% (+0.25)
Spezia 36.79% (-1.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.94% (-0.83)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.11% (-1.29)
Under 1.5 34.89% (+1.29)
Over 2.5 38.66% (-1.63)
Under 2.5 61.34% (+1.63)
Over 3.5 18.84% (-0.56)
Under 3.5 81.16% (+0.57)
Over 4.5 9.06% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 90.94% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Calcio Padova 28.2% (+1.04)
Draw 46.8% (-0.64)
Spezia 25.01% (-0.40)

Team To Score First

Calcio Padova 44.75% (+0.90)
No Goal 11.12% (+0.44)
Spezia 44.13% (-1.34)

Corners

Over 8 59.72% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.24% (-0.18)
Under 8 29.04% (+0.22)
Over 9 48.1% (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.63% (-0.18)
Under 9 40.28% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 37.06% (+0.32)
Under 10.5 62.94% (-0.32)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 1.5 28.48% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 71.52% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 9.16% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.84% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.38% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 97.62% (-0.16)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 67.12% (-1.41)
Under 0.5 32.88% (+1.42)
Over 1.5 31.31% (-1.56)
Under 1.5 68.69% (+1.55)
Over 2.5 10.7% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 89.3% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 2.92% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 97.08% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Calcio Padova 33.07%
Draw 30.14%
Spezia 36.79%
Calcio Padova
1-0 @ 11.51% (+0.58)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 5.89% (+0.31)
3-1 @ 2.49%
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.28% (+0.13)
Total : 33.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.75% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 11.12% (+0.44)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.03)
Total : 30.14%
Spezia
0-1 @ 12.26% (+0.25)
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.67)
0-2 @ 6.81%
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.23)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.82% (-0.13)
Total : 36.79%

Head to Head

Serie B
Oct 29, 2025 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT