Serie B Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2026 6.00pm
Stadio Comunale Euganeo

Calcio Padova vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Calcio Padova

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 2.00pm
Modena 1 - 2 Calcio Padova
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Kevin Lasagna

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 4.15pm
Spezia 0 - 1 Reggiana
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Gabriele Artistico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spezia win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Calcio Padova has a probability of 32.31% and a draw has a probability of 29.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win is 1-0 (10.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.72%).

Result

Calcio Padova 32.31% (-0.67)
Draw 29.89% (-0.13)
Spezia 37.83% (+0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.76% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.39% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 33.61% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 40.28% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 59.72% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 19.4% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 80.6% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 9.18% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 90.82% (-0.14)

First Half Winner

Calcio Padova 27.16%
Draw 47.43%
Spezia 25.41%

Team To Score First

Calcio Padova 43.85% (+0.10)
No Goal 10.68% (-0.16)
Spezia 45.47% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 59.74% (-0.06)
Equal 8 11.42%
Under 8 28.83% (+0.05)
Over 9 47.93% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.81% (-0.01)
Under 9 40.26% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 36.75% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 63.25% (+0.04)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 1.5 28.56% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 71.44% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 9.17% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 90.83% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 2.22% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.78% (+0.05)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 68.53% (+0.74)
Under 0.5 31.47% (-0.75)
Over 1.5 32.86% (+0.75)
Under 1.5 67.14% (-0.75)
Over 2.5 11.34% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 88.66% (-0.39)
Over 3.5 3.01% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 96.99% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Calcio Padova 32.31%
Draw 29.88%
Spezia 37.84%
Calcio Padova
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.26)
2-1 @ 7.44% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.15% (-0.05)
Total : 32.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.72% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.68% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.66% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 29.88%
Spezia
0-1 @ 12.02% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 8.49% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 6.81% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 3.06% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.81% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.71% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.94% (+0.13)
Total : 37.84%

Head to Head

Serie B
Oct 29, 2025 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT