Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.36% and a win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 15.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%) , while for a Calcio Padova win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.