Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.42% and a win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%) , while for a Juve Stabia win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.