Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.19% and a win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%) , while for a Calcio Padova win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.