Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 45.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.47% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%) , while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.