Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Virtus Entella win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.65% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Virtus Entella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%) , while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.