Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 43.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.37% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 27.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%) , while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (9.76%).