Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 49.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.79% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%) , while for a Reggiana win it was 1-0 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.