Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 51.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.17% and a win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.14%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%) , while for a Virtus Entella win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.