Serie B Gameweek 32
Mar 21, 2026 6.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Alessandro Sersanti 14' goal
  • Samuel Wiafe 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Tonoli 59' goal
  • Gady Beyuku 70' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Ambrosino 70' yellowcard
  • Matteo Cotali 87' yellowcard
  • Pedro Mendes 89' yellowcard
  • Pedro Mendes 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Davide Bragantini 46'
  • yellowcard Maat Daniel Caprini 46'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Maggioni 65'
  • yellowcard Davis Mensah 76'
  • yellowcard César Falletti 77'
  • goal Davis Mensah 81'

Modena vs Mantova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 7.00pm
Catanzaro 0 - 0 Modena
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Ettore Gliozzi

Mantova

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 7.00pm
Mantova 3 - 0 Cesena
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Davide Bragantini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 52.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.16% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%) , while for a Mantova win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Modena 52.38%
Draw 26.16% (+0.04)
Mantova 21.43% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.83% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.92% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 30.08% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 44.23% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 55.77% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 22.75% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 77.25% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 12.32% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 87.68% (+0.09)

First Half Winner

Modena 36.92%
Draw 42.74%
Mantova 20.35%

Team To Score First

Modena 59.48% (-0.04)
No Goal 8.82% (+0.06)
Mantova 31.7% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 49.9%
Equal 8 11.99%
Under 8 38.11%
Over 9 38.4%
Equal 9 11.49%
Under 9 50.1%
Over 10.5 28.28%
Under 10.5 71.72%

Modena Goals

Over 1.5 44.93% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 55.07% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 19.62% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.38% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.93% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.07% (+0.03)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5 55.29% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 44.71% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 21.17% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 78.83% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 5.93% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.07% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.34% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.66% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Modena 52.39%
Draw 26.16%
Mantova 21.44%
Modena
1-0 @ 13.75% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 10.04% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.22% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.87% (-0.04)
Total : 52.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.82% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.16%
Mantova
0-1 @ 7.5% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.28% (-0.03)
Total : 21.44%

Head to Head

Serie B
Sep 20, 2025 6.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2025 4.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Giuseppe Caso 18' goal
  • Antonio Palumbo 38' goal
  • Gady-Pierre Beyuku Bowutankoyi 90' goal
  • yellowcard Antonio Fiori 5'
  • goal Leonardo Mancuso 30'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Radaelli 61'
  • yellowcard Simone Giordano 72'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Mancuso 73'
Serie B Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2024 4.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Nicolo Radaelli 35' yellowcard
  • Mattia Aramu 51' yellowcard
  • Matteo Solini 71' yellowcard
  • Erik Panizzi 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Cauz 27'
  • yellowcard Mattia Caldara 32'
  • redcard Matteo Cotali 77'