Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Modena had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (10.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.