Serie B
Apr 11, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Marco Druso
  • Daniele Casiraghi 4' yellowcard
  • Domen Črnigoj 46' yellowcard
  • Federico Davi 46' yellowcard
  • Nicola Pietrangeli 60' goal
  • Marco Frigerio 69' yellowcard
  • Jacopo Martini 77' yellowcard
  • Raphael Odogwu 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michele Pezzolato 10'
  • goal Simone Santoro 21'
  • yellowcard Niklas Pyyhtiä 69'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Ambrosino 69'
  • yellowcard Matteo Cotali 83'
  • yellowcard Francesco Zampano 83'

Sudtirol vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 11.30am
Cesena 1 - 1 Sudtirol
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Emanuele Pecorino

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 2.00pm
Bari 3 - 1 Modena
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Ettore Gliozzi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.27% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 26.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%) , while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result

Sudtirol 26.24%
Draw 28.27%
Modena 45.48% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.41% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.66% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 33.34% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 40.2% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 59.8% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 19.76% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 80.24% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 9.79% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 90.21% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Sudtirol 25.18%
Draw 45.86%
Modena 28.95%

Team To Score First

Sudtirol 39.81% (+0.02)
No Goal 10.31% (-0.01)
Modena 49.88%

Corners

Over 8 57.54%
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 30.92%
Over 9 45.81%
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 42.46%
Over 10.5 34.87%
Under 10.5 65.13%

Sudtirol Goals

Over 1.5 23.51% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 76.49% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.58% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.42% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.47% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.53% (-0.02)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 72.93% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 27.07% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 38.08% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 61.92% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 14.71% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 85.29% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.58% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.42% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sudtirol 26.24%
Draw 28.27%
Modena 45.47%
Sudtirol
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.29%
2-0 @ 4.5%
3-1 @ 1.93%
3-0 @ 1.31%
3-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 26.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.1% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.31% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.02% (+0.01)
Total : 28.27%
Modena
0-1 @ 13.53% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.96% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.88% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.87% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.78% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 4.56% (+0.01)
Total : 45.47%

Head to Head

Serie B
Nov 22, 2025 7.45pm
Serie B Gameweek 20
Dec 29, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Giovanni Zaro 1' yellowcard
  • Cristian Cauz 28' redcard
  • Mattia Caldara 68' yellowcard
  • Fabio Abiuso 78' yellowcard
  • Simone Santoro 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabrizio Castori 2'
  • yellowcard Raphael Kofler 38'
  • yellowcard Silvio Merkaj 52'
  • yellowcard Daniele Casiraghi 57'
  • redcard Daniele Casiraghi 74'
Serie B Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Marco Druso
  • Alessandro Mallamo 6' goal
  • Andrea Giorgini 55' yellowcard
  • Matteo Rover 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Antonio Pergreffi 31'
  • goal Kleis Bozhanaj 40'
  • yellowcard Ettore Gliozzi 47'
  • yellowcard Antonio Palumbo 90'+4'
Serie B Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2024 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Antonio Palumbo 54' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Zaro 67' goal
  • yellowcard Simone Davi 22'
  • yellowcard Raphael Odogwu 72'
  • yellowcard Matteo Rover 80'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Arrigoni 86'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Ciervo 90'+2'
Serie B Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2023 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Marco Druso
  • Andrea Giorgini 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacopo Manconi 63'
  • yellowcard Fabio Ponsi 87'
Serie B Gameweek 38
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Nicholas Bonfanti 10' goal
  • Luca Magnino 23' goal
  • goal Fabian Tait 54'