Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.27% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 26.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%) , while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.