Serie B
Apr 6, 2026 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Gabriele Moncini 22' yellowcard
  • Davide Adorni 31' goal
  • Matthias Braunöder 62' yellowcard
  • Marvin Cuni 69' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Dorval 69' yellowcard
  • Marvin Cuni 80' goal
  • Daouda Traore 87' yellowcard
  • Matthias Verreth 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gady Beyuku 46'
  • yellowcard Yanis Massolin 46'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Ambrosino 46'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Ambrosino 48'
  • yellowcard Matteo Cotali 75'
  • yellowcard Grégoire Defrel 79'
  • goal Giuseppe Ambrosino 90'

Bari vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 2.00pm
Bari 0 - 3 Carrarese
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Emanuele Rao

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 6.30pm
Modena 2 - 1 Mantova
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Ettore Gliozzi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 46.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.99% and a win for Bari had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%) , while for a Bari win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

Bari 25.38% (-0.07)
Draw 27.99%
Modena 46.57% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.79% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.49% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 32.51% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 41.22% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 58.78% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 20.58% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 79.42% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.3% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.7% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bari 23.6%
Draw 46.25%
Modena 30.15%

Team To Score First

Bari 37.15% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.99% (+0.02)
Modena 52.86% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 68.55%
Equal 8 10.29%
Under 8 21.16%
Over 9 57.07%
Equal 9 11.48%
Under 9 31.45%
Over 10.5 45.4%
Under 10.5 54.6%

Bari Goals

Over 1.5 23.35% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 76.65% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 6.61% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 93.39% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.48% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.52% (+0.01)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 73.87% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.13% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 39.55%
Under 1.5 60.45%
Over 2.5 15.53%
Under 2.5 84.47%
Over 3.5 4.93%
Under 3.5 95.07%

Score analysis

Bari 25.38%
Draw 27.99%
Modena 46.57%
Bari
1-0 @ 9.06% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.04% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.33%
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.46% (-0.02)
Total : 25.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.95% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.99% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 27.99%
Modena
0-1 @ 13.4% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.02% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.1%
1-3 @ 3.92%
2-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 4.91%
Total : 46.57%

Head to Head

Serie B
Sep 13, 2025 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B Gameweek 35
Apr 25, 2025 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Mattia Maita 17' yellowcard
  • Andrea Oliveri 25' yellowcard
  • Giulio Maggiore 31' yellowcard
  • Kevin Lasagna 42' goal
  • Francesco Vicari 44' yellowcard
  • goal Gregoire Defrel 8'
  • goal Antonio Palumbo 18'
  • yellowcard Antonio Palumbo 41'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Zaro 45'+1'
  • redcard Alessandro Di Pardo 81'
Serie B Gameweek 2
Aug 23, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Pierpaolo Bisoli 0' redcard
  • Thomas Battistella 8' yellowcard
  • Pierpaolo Bisoli 9' yellowcard
  • Antonio Palumbo 16' yellowcard
  • Antonio Palumbo 45'+3' goal
  • Pedro Mendes 62' goal
  • Ettore Gliozzi 72' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Zaro 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mattia Maita 14'
  • goal Andrija Novakovich 17'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Manzari 39'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Benali 61'
  • yellowcard Costantino Favasuli 80'
Serie B Gameweek 31
Apr 1, 2024 11.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Antonio Palumbo 51' goal
  • Jacopo Manconi 56' yellowcard
  • Antonio Pergreffi 78' yellowcard
  • Fabio Ponsi 81' yellowcard
  • Matteo Cotali 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Sibilli 22'
  • goal Raffaele Pucino 62'
Serie B Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Giacomo Ricci 12' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Sibilli 72' goal
  • Giuseppe Sibilli 73' yellowcard
  • Valerio Di Cesare 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giovanni Zaro 14'
  • yellowcard Cristian Cauz 55'
  • yellowcard Matteo Cotali 67'
  • yellowcard Fabio Gerli 68'
  • yellowcard Kleis Bozhanaj 78'
  • goal Jacopo Manconi 83'
Serie B Gameweek 36
May 6, 2023 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Davide Diaw 77' goal
  • goal Giacomo Ricci 34'