Serie B Gameweek 32
Mar 22, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Bari vs Carrarese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 2.00pm
Bari 4 - 1 Reggiana
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Emanuele Rao

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 2.00pm
Juve Stabia 1 - 1 Carrarese
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Fabio Abiuso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bari win with a probability of 44.31%. A draw has a probability of 29.5% and a win for Carrarese has a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.94%) , while for a Carrarese win it is 0-1 (9.48%).

Result

Bari 44.31% (-0.10)
Draw 29.5%
Carrarese 26.19% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.56% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.27% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 35.73% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 38.22% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 61.78% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 18.19%
Under 3.5 81.81%
Over 4.5 9.15% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 90.85% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bari 32.03%
Draw 45.41%
Carrarese 22.56%

Team To Score First

Bari 49.5% (+0.01)
No Goal 11.74% (-0.02)
Carrarese 38.76% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.67% (-0.47)
Equal 8 11.05% (+0.02)
Under 8 27.28% (+0.46)
Over 9 50.06% (-0.43)
Equal 9 11.61% (-0.04)
Under 9 38.33% (+0.47)
Over 10.5 38.88% (-0.36)
Under 10.5 61.12% (+0.36)

Bari Goals

Over 1.5 35.86% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 64.14% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 13.34% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.66% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.09% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.91% (+0.02)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5 57.03% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 42.97% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 23.03% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 76.97% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.07% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.93% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 1.77%
Under 3.5 98.23%

Score analysis

Bari 44.31%
Draw 29.49%
Carrarese 26.18%
Bari
1-0 @ 14.49% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.99% (-0.02)
Total : 44.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.74% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 29.49%
Carrarese
0-1 @ 9.48% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.08%
0-2 @ 4.29% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 26.18%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 19
Jan 10, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio dei Marmi
Serie B Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Samuel Giovane 33' yellowcard
  • Ernesto Torregrossa 45' goal
  • Gabriele Guarino 51' goal
  • Manuel Cicconi 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ahmed Benali 23'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Dorval 29'
  • goal Lorenco Simic 37'
  • yellowcard Nosa Edward Obaretin 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Lorenco Simic 60'
Serie B Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Kevin Lasagna 76' yellowcard
  • Valerio Mantovani 80' yellowcard
  • 85' goal
  • Nicola Bellomo 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Giovane 52'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Schiavi 58'
  • yellowcard Luigi Cherubini 90'+3'