Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Cesena win was 1-0 (9.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.