Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.05% and a win for Avellino had a probability of 26.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%) , while for a Avellino win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.