Serie B
May 1, 2026 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Bogdan Popov 54' yellowcard
  • Matteo Lovato 58' goal
  • Salvatore Elia 69' yellowcard
  • Duccio Degli Innocenti 69' yellowcard
  • Stiven Shpendi 71' yellowcard
  • Stiven Shpendi 72' yellowcard
  • Andrea Ghion 84' yellowcard
  • Flavio Bianchi 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raffaele Russo 46'
  • yellowcard Roberto Insigne 65'
  • yellowcard Filippo Missori 65'
  • yellowcard Luca Pandolfi 73'
  • yellowcard Andréa Le Borgne 83'

Empoli vs Avellino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 4.15pm
Venezia 2 - 0 Empoli
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Stiven Shpendi

Avellino

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 8.00pm
Avellino 2 - 0 Bari
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Tommaso Biasci

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.05% and a win for Avellino had a probability of 26.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%) , while for a Avellino win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Empoli 45.63%
Draw 28.05% (+0.04)
Avellino 26.32% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.2%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.79% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 31.21% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 42.88%
Under 2.5 57.12%
Over 3.5 21.69%
Under 3.5 78.31%
Over 4.5 11.03%
Under 4.5 88.97%

First Half Winner

Empoli 31.83%
Draw 47.55%
Avellino 20.63%

Team To Score First

Empoli 53.09%
No Goal 9.59%
Avellino 37.32%

Corners

Over 8 58.09%
Equal 8 11.88%
Under 8 30.03%
Over 9 45.94%
Equal 9 12.16%
Under 9 41.91%
Over 10.5 34.58%
Under 10.5 65.42%

Empoli Goals

Over 1.5 39.6% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 60.4% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 15.83% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.17% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.86%
Under 3.5 95.14%

Avellino Goals

Over 0.5 60.21% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 39.79% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 25.17% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.83% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.58%
Under 2.5 92.42%
Over 3.5 1.85% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.15% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Empoli 45.62%
Draw 28.05%
Avellino 26.32%
Empoli
1-0 @ 12.87% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 8.62%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 2.17%
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 45.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.04% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.59%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 28.05%
Avellino
0-1 @ 8.74%
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.76% (-0.02)
Total : 26.32%

Head to Head

Serie B
Nov 22, 2025 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B
Feb 27, 2018 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli)
  • Miha Zajc 39' goal
  • yellowcard Angelo D'Angelo 25'
  • yellowcard Carlo De Risio 59'
  • goal Angelo D'Angelo 90'
  • redcard Angelo D'Angelo 90'
Serie B
Sep 30, 2017 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)
  • Anton Kresic 53' goal
  • Luigi Castaldo 62' goal
  • Angelo D'Angelo 69' goal
  • Luigi Castaldo 74' yellowcard
  • goal Alfredo Donnarumma 11'
  • yellowcard Moustapha Seck 33'
  • goal Miha Zajc 48'
  • redcard Rade Krunic 84'
  • yellowcard Nikola Ninkovic 87'