Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.63% and a win for Avellino had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.11%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%) , while for a Avellino win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.