Serie B
Apr 18, 2026 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Nicolò Buso 57' yellowcard
  • Nicolò Buso 58' yellowcard
  • Nicolò Radaelli 58' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Marras 76' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • César Falletti 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filippo Missori 46'
  • yellowcard Patrick Enrici 46'
  • goal Filippo Missori 63'
  • yellowcard Andrea Favilli 68'
  • yellowcard Michele Besaggio 76'
  • yellowcard Gennaro Tutino 76'
  • yellowcard 76'
  • goal Andrea Favilli 86'

Mantova vs Avellino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mantova

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 4.15pm
Spezia 0 - 2 Mantova
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Davide Bragantini

Avellino

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 4.15pm
Avellino 1 - 1 Catanzaro
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Tommaso Biasci

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.63% and a win for Avellino had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.11%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%) , while for a Avellino win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Mantova 51.62% (+0.03)
Draw 25.63%
Avellino 22.75% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.71% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.8% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 26.2% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 49.38% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 50.62% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 26.9% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 73.1% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 15.04% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 84.96% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Mantova 35.51%
Draw 45.12%
Avellino 19.36%

Team To Score First

Mantova 55.9% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.49% (+0.01)
Avellino 36.61%

Corners

Over 8 56.57%
Equal 8 12.59%
Under 8 30.85%
Over 9 43.8%
Equal 9 12.77%
Under 9 43.43%
Over 10.5 32.07%
Under 10.5 67.93%

Mantova Goals

Over 1.5 47.43%
Under 1.5 52.57%
Over 2.5 21.72% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.28% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.94%
Under 3.5 92.06%

Avellino Goals

Over 0.5 58.74% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 41.26% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 24.6% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 75.4% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 7.72% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 92.28% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Mantova 51.62%
Draw 25.63%
Avellino 22.76%
Mantova
1-0 @ 11.85% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.11%
2-0 @ 9.13% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.77%
Total : 51.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 7.49% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.63%
Avellino
0-1 @ 6.87% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.83% (-0.03)
Total : 22.76%

Head to Head

Serie B
Oct 4, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT