Serie B Gameweek 33
Apr 5, 2026 6.30pm
Stadio Renzo Barbera

Palermo vs Avellino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 2.00pm
Calcio Padova 0 - 1 Palermo
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Joel Pohjanpalo

Avellino

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 4.15pm
Sampdoria 2 - 1 Avellino
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Tommaso Biasci

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palermo win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw has a probability of 22.65% and a win for Avellino has a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11%) , while for a Avellino win it is 0-1 (5.64%).

Result

Palermo 61.78%
Draw 22.65%
Avellino 15.58%

Both Teams to Score: 

47%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.03% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.97% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 47.96%
Under 2.5 52.04%
Over 3.5 25.58%
Under 3.5 74.42%
Over 4.5 14.89% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.11% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Palermo 44.34%
Draw 39.23%
Avellino 16.43%

Team To Score First

Palermo 65.48% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.27% (-0.02)
Avellino 27.25%

Corners

Over 8 63.36%
Equal 8 11.1%
Under 8 25.54%
Over 9 51.5%
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 36.64%
Over 10.5 39.95%
Under 10.5 60.05%

Palermo Goals

Over 1.5 53.08% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 46.92% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 26.01% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 73.99% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 10.01%
Under 3.5 89.99%

Avellino Goals

Over 0.5 49.73% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 50.27% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 16.89% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 83.11% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 3.95%
Under 2.5 96.05%
Over 3.5 0.81%
Under 3.5 99.19%

Score analysis

Palermo 61.76%
Draw 22.65%
Avellino 15.57%
Palermo
1-0 @ 14.04% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.85% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.39%
3-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-2 @ 2.58%
Other @ 10%
Total : 61.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.65%
Avellino
0-1 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.29%
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 15.57%

Head to Head

Serie B
Dec 20, 2025 4.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tommaso Biasci 39' goal
  • Luca Palmiero 56' yellowcard
  • Lorenco Simic 61' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Martin Palumbo 76' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Fontanarosa 82' yellowcard
  • Martin Palumbo 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mattia Bani 18'
  • goal Filippo Ranocchia 69'
  • yellowcard Salim Diakite 75'
  • goal Joel Pohjanpalo 83'
  • yellowcard Salim Diakite 87'
  • yellowcard Claudio Gomes 90'+3'
Serie B
Apr 21, 2018 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)
  • Igor Coronado 9' goal
  • Antonino La Gumina 47' goal
  • Igor Coronado 71' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Trajkovski 73' goal
  • yellowcard Santiago Morero 8'
  • yellowcard Salvatore Molina 52'
  • yellowcard Carlo De Risio 77'
Serie B
Nov 25, 2017 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)
  • Fabrizio Paghera 45' yellowcard
  • Marco Migliorini 68' yellowcard
  • Raul Asencio 81' goal
  • goal Salvatore Molina 36' (OG)
  • redcard Thiago Cionek 42'
  • goal Eddy Gnahore 49'
  • goal Ilija Nestorovski 77'